00:00:00I've been thinking about impediments to happiness
00:00:03and I can see two obvious roadblocks.
00:00:06First one is wanting things to be different.
00:00:09Happiness is the state when nothing is missing.
00:00:14When nothing is missing, your mind shuts down
00:00:17and stops running into the past or the future
00:00:19to regret something or to plan something.
00:00:22If you want the world to be different,
00:00:27your happiness is held hostage until that change occurs.
00:00:30Sometimes this is an actual change that you need to make
00:00:35to leave an unhappy relationship,
00:00:38change from an unfulfilling career,
00:00:40complete and difficult conversation.
00:00:43And we often will remain in years of misery
00:00:48to avoid a few minutes of pain.
00:00:50Second roadblock to happiness is uncertainty.
00:00:56Humans never genuinely pursue happiness.
00:01:01They only pursue relief from uncertainty
00:01:04and happiness emerges momentarily as a by-product
00:01:08whenever uncertainty briefly disappears.
00:01:11If you feel like you can't predict the future,
00:01:16you will default to fear and worry and rumination
00:01:21and your mindscape will eclipse reality's landscape.
00:01:26Worrying about the thing you can't predict
00:01:30usually involves a nightmare fantasy,
00:01:33which is way worse than what could happen in reality.
00:01:36However, this imagined nightmare briefly collapses
00:01:41the chaos of the world into certainty.
00:01:43And this is how much humans abhor
00:01:46not knowing how the future will unfold.
00:01:49We would rather imagine a catastrophe
00:01:52than deal with something unpredictable.
00:01:55Sometimes these situations overlap.
00:01:58A family member gets an uncertain medical diagnosis
00:02:01and we can't be with them.
00:02:03We argue with our partner while we're apart
00:02:05and don't know how they're feeling overnight.
00:02:08We try to mend a broken friendship with a letter
00:02:11and haven't yet got a reply.
00:02:12So if you're feeling unhappy,
00:02:16look to where you're uncertain
00:02:18and where you want things to be different first.
00:02:22I really think that there's a lot to this,
00:02:26these two impediments to happiness, right?
00:02:29That you want things to be different
00:02:32and things are uncertain.
00:02:34I mean, a great description about how anxiety works
00:02:38is you're unable to work out
00:02:42what's gonna happen in the future.
00:02:44So your mind imagines,
00:02:48it invests a lot of time and energy
00:02:50into lots of alternative scenarios
00:02:54in the hopes that if you had already seen
00:02:57how those scenarios might occur,
00:02:59if they do occur, you are better prepared for them.
00:03:02If you know that one thing is going to happen,
00:03:04you can still be anxious about it,
00:03:05but the anxiety takes on kind of a different tone.
00:03:07And I think that this prediction error of the future
00:03:12is perfectly explained by the fact that we would rather,
00:03:18genuinely, genuinely rather imagine a nightmare
00:03:21than deal with uncertainty.
00:03:24Like it does collapse down.
00:03:26If it's the worst thing, it's cancer,
00:03:30it's cancer and a gluten intolerance
00:03:32and an infidelity and a divorce at the same time.
00:03:34It's all of those things together somehow.
00:03:37That is horrible and weirdly more satisfying
00:03:45than thinking, I don't know what it is.
00:03:49There was this idea around COVID called compensatory control.
00:03:53When people were asked to imagine
00:03:57an uncertain medical diagnosis in the lab,
00:04:01imagine that this is the diagnosis that you were given
00:04:07on a medical report,
00:04:09they were more likely to see meaningless patterns
00:04:13in random static on a TV.
00:04:15They basically saw trends where there were none.
00:04:20They tried to bring order even into situations
00:04:24that were chaotic.
00:04:25And the connection to this and COVID was that
00:04:28even before the lab leak had sufficient evidence behind it,
00:04:33like the people that say that they were prescient
00:04:38and understood that this was a thing,
00:04:40other than there is a place in Wuhan that does this
00:04:44and the virus started in Wuhan.
00:04:47Other than those two things, which is quite a bit,
00:04:49but not everything, nobody knew
00:04:51because there weren't any stats.
00:04:52And now it seems like the zoological origin
00:04:55and the RNA sequence, all this stuff,
00:04:58there's maybe a little bit more.
00:04:59My point is a lot of the people that were early on that,
00:05:03you were, I think, leaning heavily into compensatory control
00:05:08because it is far easier to believe that a pathogen exists
00:05:13because of some malign scientist
00:05:17than the chance mutation of some silly little microbe.
00:05:20And even if this is the case,
00:05:22even if it is a lab leak, that lab leak hypothesis is true,
00:05:25you can't deny that it is much more comforting
00:05:29to be able to work it out by human motivation
00:05:32and carelessness or evilness
00:05:35or the CCP trying to take over or whatever.
00:05:38That is a story that we can all understand.
00:05:41What we can't understand is asteroids are random
00:05:45and sometimes they hit earth.
00:05:47Well, did we deserve it?
00:05:49Think about the personification
00:05:51of the reason for this happening.
00:05:52Oh, this is judgment for something that we have done.
00:05:56This is righteous retribution.
00:05:59Why, why do we need that story?
00:06:01Well, some people's beliefs, but on top of that,
00:06:04it wrangles randomness into certainty.
00:06:07And this is obviously an impediment to happiness
00:06:12as far as I can see.
00:06:13Fucking plainly gets in the way of our happiness
00:06:16because how are you supposed to be happy
00:06:19if you want things to be different?
00:06:21If you are unhappy right now,
00:06:22you're ruminating about the past,
00:06:23you're dreaming about the future,
00:06:24you're never in the present,
00:06:26you're holding your happiness hostage again.
00:06:28And if you've got uncertainty,
00:06:32that's like a fucking multiplier.
00:06:34And like I say, sometimes you argue with your partner
00:06:37and you don't know how they're feeling overnight.
00:06:39So you want to not be arguing
00:06:40and you've got uncertainty about how they feel.
00:06:43Family member gets an uncertainty called medical diagnosis
00:06:46and we can't be with them.
00:06:47I want it to be different and I have uncertainty together.
00:06:50And I think this is like a real potent cocktail
00:06:53of dissatisfaction that often occurs in our lives.
00:06:58A quick aside, do you remember learning
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00:08:06That's timeline.com/modernwisdom30.
00:08:10Congratulations for making it to the end of a clip.
00:08:12Your brain has not been fried by TikTok.
00:08:15Watch the full episode here.