The year of AI agents, uncertainty, anxiety, hope, advantages & opportunities!

MMaximilian Schwarzmüller
컴퓨터/소프트웨어구직/면접자격증/평생교육AI/미래기술

Transcript

00:00:00As a software developer, 2026 for sure will be an interesting year to say it like this.
00:00:07Or maybe a frightening year.
00:00:09Or maybe a year full of opportunities, depending on your situation and how you look at it.
00:00:17And if I take a look at the comments below my episodes, below my videos, it looks like
00:00:23we essentially have two main camps.
00:00:27The loudest camp, not just for me, but also for other creators or YouTubers as far as
00:00:34I know, is the "AI is a bubble or fat" camp.
00:00:40The people that tell you that "oh no, it's yet another video about AI" and that essentially
00:00:47want to let you know that they can't wait for AI to disappear and how shitty the code
00:00:55is AI generates and all the stuff related to that.
00:00:59And I'll get back to that, no worries.
00:01:01The other big camp of course is - or the other loud camp I should say - is the people that
00:01:08will tell you that AI will replace everyone and everything right now or within 6 months.
00:01:16Now needless to say, I'm in neither of these camps.
00:01:21I - like most people I guess - am right here in the middle of this spectrum.
00:01:28I can tell you, AI is clearly not something that will just disappear and will go back to
00:01:37the times before AI.
00:01:39From a developer's perspective, AI of course is here and profoundly changes the way we write
00:01:48or generate code.
00:01:49The days of handwriting all code are gone for me at least and I would guess for most developers
00:01:56and companies clearly expect and will expect developers to be capable of working with tools
00:02:03like Claude Code or Codex or GitHub Copilot or Cursor or whatever else.
00:02:09And no, I'm not just saying that because I'm selling courses on these tools - yes, I do
00:02:14sell them if you want them, you find the links below the video - but I'm not just saying it
00:02:18because of this, it's instead the other way around.
00:02:22I'm creating those courses because these technologies are here to stay and they are important.
00:02:29I'm creating these courses for the very same reason I created courses on JavaScript frameworks
00:02:35back in 2019.
00:02:38Because these are the things you as developers need to be able to work with.
00:02:43And obviously I want you to buy my courses, that gives me money, but in the end it does
00:02:50not matter if you take my courses, someone else's courses, if you learn it all without
00:02:55courses, it doesn't matter.
00:02:56You need the skills to work efficiently with Claude Code, with Codex and all these other
00:03:01tools.
00:03:02That is 100% clear.
00:03:04And if you're telling me that AI only generates shitty buggy code, then you're doing it wrong.
00:03:11I'm very sorry to be that harsh, you're doing it wrong in that case.
00:03:15Now important, super important, that does not mean that AI is flawless.
00:03:22That does not mean that wipecoding is the way to go.
00:03:26That you just throw one prompt at AI and it just goes there and does its thing and magically
00:03:32gives you a working, flawless, perfect app.
00:03:36By the way, that also isn't true for humans, but it's definitely not true for AI.
00:03:42Instead it is all about steering and controlling the AI.
00:03:48That is the major skill you as a developer need to develop in conjunction to working with
00:03:55these tools.
00:03:57You must be able to efficiently use these tools, and with these tools I mean Claude Code and
00:04:03so on, and you must be capable of planning, of creating specs, assuring proper testing
00:04:14etc.
00:04:15That is in the end your job or what your job is becoming as a developer.
00:04:20Now it is also more than these things.
00:04:22It is also of course, or kind of related to assuring proper testing I guess, it is also
00:04:27about code reviews, it is also about stepping in when AI struggles.
00:04:34That's all crucial.
00:04:36It's also all about making proper choices and that's related to the steering part regarding
00:04:43technologies to be used, regarding packages to be used.
00:04:46It's about providing the proper prompts and context and skills to AI.
00:04:51That is all super important and your knowledge as a developer, your knowledge about the technology
00:04:57you're working with, about the framework you're working with, that all helps you.
00:05:01That is the great thing here, that your existing skills matter.
00:05:08Understanding what React is and how it works matters and will help you achieve better results
00:05:14with AI.
00:05:15And that's kind of the part a lot of people miss if they're in either of these camps.
00:05:20No, AI is not perfect, it is about combining your skills with AI, but if you do that you
00:05:26can get decent results.
00:05:27At least that has been my experience.
00:05:29Now, needless to say that this nonetheless is a super challenging and potentially frightening
00:05:36situation.
00:05:38Because I totally get it and I'll be very honest, I'm kind of in the same boat.
00:05:43The world or the way we developers work is changing drastically and very, very quickly.
00:05:52And I'm fully aware that I'm in a super privileged situation where I just create courses about
00:05:59something else and move on with my life.
00:06:01Though it's not as easy as that because I honestly enjoyed the process of handwriting
00:06:09code.
00:06:10And I know there are many people that would tell me that this doesn't make sense, it was
00:06:15always about building.
00:06:16Sure, maybe for you, but for me the flow state you could enter when writing code was kind
00:06:26of magical.
00:06:27I did enjoy that.
00:06:28And of course I can still do that as a hobby, kind of, but it doesn't feel right if I really
00:06:35want to build something, if I want to make progress because I know that I would be faster
00:06:40and that I would be more efficient using AI.
00:06:44Maybe that is different for you, maybe that is a skill issue from my side, but for me that
00:06:49definitely is the case.
00:06:50But yeah, if AI wouldn't exist, I wouldn't be sad about it.
00:06:56But it is here, it is here, it gives us new capabilities, it can boost our productivity
00:07:01and that does have big, big advantages and brings various opportunities to us developers,
00:07:07but it is a huge change that's happening super, super quickly.
00:07:11Now not as quickly as some people will want to make you believe and I created other episodes
00:07:18and videos where I talked about how I think the job market will become better for developers
00:07:23this year and that it actually already started getting better.
00:07:26I mean I shared this in another video, but if you take a look at this software development
00:07:30job postings in the US chart here, which is super depressing if you look at it long term,
00:07:36but if you focus on the most recent period, the most recent year, there clearly is an up
00:07:41word trend here.
00:07:42I did talk about that and I think that will be the case because I think as AI gives us
00:07:50a productivity boost and more capabilities, companies will want developers that can use
00:07:56AI to, well, take advantage of this productivity boost and that's what I meant.
00:08:02AI does bring us advantages and opportunities, but of course at the same time it totally changes
00:08:08how we work, for many, like me, like myself, it changes or it kind of removes the part you
00:08:14maybe enjoyed and you have to find joy in this new way of working and I'm doing that but still
00:08:21something is taken away from me and that therefore definitely makes 2026 a year, yes, full of
00:08:29opportunities, full of potential advantages, but also full of potentially frightening stuff
00:08:35and I totally get that and that is why I totally get that there are many loud people in this
00:08:42camp here.
00:08:44Maybe you only had bad experiences with AI, maybe it's worth another serious attempt using
00:08:51the latest models and tools like Codex with all these things I mentioned before in mind
00:08:57with properly planning and steering and so on, maybe it's worth another try, but yeah,
00:09:02maybe you'll stay in that camp and that is fine, too, but I think many people are also
00:09:07in that camp because they are afraid or overwhelmed and I totally get this because it is a lot
00:09:14in a very short time.
00:09:16And I remember that last year, 2025, people said at the beginning of the year that 2025
00:09:23would be the year of agents and I'm not sure if it really was, sure it became more and more
00:09:29of a thing, but the real breakthrough really only happened at the end of 2025, for coding
00:09:35at least, with the release of Opus 4.5 and like this magical, this perfect moment where
00:09:44better models or models that were better at agentic tasks and that were better at following
00:09:51instructions came together with tools like Cloud Code or Cursor that of course also became
00:09:58much better over the year.
00:10:00It was that magical moment at the end of last year that for the first time for many of us,
00:10:06for me certainly, made coding agents feel way more powerful and useful than they were ever
00:10:14before.
00:10:15Sure, we all probably dabbled around and played around with Cursor since maybe 2023, I sure
00:10:20did, but for me it was always mostly about the tab completion and yeah, the agent mode
00:10:26was nice but it got stuck frequently, it wasn't really that powerful at least for me but that
00:10:34changed at the end of last year and I know it did for many and therefore 2026, also of
00:10:41course with OpenClaw and everything that's going on there, definitely looks way more than
00:10:46the year of agents.
00:10:48So yeah, one year late but therefore the year of agents, the year of advantages and opportunities
00:10:54but certainly also the year of uncertainty, of feeling overwhelmed and of anxiety for
00:11:03many and I totally get that too and therefore I'm super interested in of course also hearing
00:11:09in which camp you are or what your thoughts are here.
00:11:14What do you think about all that?
00:11:16What am I maybe missing when I say that I don't think that AI is a fad?
00:11:21By the way, I do think that it is a bubble, I do think that we will see the bubble burst
00:11:26which will lead to things like way more expensive tokens, maybe some companies will disappear
00:11:30but the technology is here, it is helpful, it will not disappear, just to be clear about
00:11:36that.
00:11:37But yeah, let me know what you think and let's see what the year has in store for us I guess.

Key Takeaway

While AI is fundamentally changing the developer's experience by replacing manual coding with agent steering, it offers significant productivity boosts and job opportunities for those who leverage their existing expertise to control these new tools.

Highlights

The developer community is split between those viewing AI as a temporary bubble and those fearing immediate total replacement of human roles.

2026 is identified as the true "Year of AI Agents" following the late 2025 breakthroughs in model reasoning and instruction following.

A shift in developer skills is required, moving from manual coding to steering, planning, and performing high-level code reviews.

The speaker acknowledges a loss of the "flow state" found in manual coding but highlights an upward trend in job postings for AI-capable developers.

Success with AI tools depends on existing technical knowledge, such as understanding frameworks like React to better guide the agent.

The AI industry may face a bubble burst leading to higher token costs, but the underlying technology is a permanent fixture in software engineering.

Timeline

The Great Developer Divide

The speaker introduces the year 2026 as a pivotal and potentially frightening time for software developers depending on their perspective. He identifies two vocal extremes in the community: those who dismiss AI as a "shitty" temporary fad and those who believe it will replace all human workers within months. This section establishes the emotional landscape of the industry, ranging from deep anxiety to skeptical dismissiveness. The narrator notes that his own comment sections are a battleground for these opposing viewpoints. Understanding these camps is essential for navigating the current professional climate and finding a balanced middle ground.

AI as a Permanent Industry Shift

Rejecting both extremes, the speaker argues that AI is a permanent change that has already ended the era of 100% manual handwriting of code. He emphasizes that companies now explicitly expect developers to be proficient with tools like Claude Code, GitHub Copilot, and Cursor. Drawing a parallel to the rise of JavaScript frameworks in 2019, he justifies his educational content as a necessary response to industry evolution. He asserts that the need for these skills is undeniable regardless of which specific courses a developer chooses to take. This segment highlights that productivity in 2026 is tied directly to the efficient use of AI assistants.

The Art of Steering and Controlling AI

The speaker addresses the common complaint that AI generates buggy code, suggesting that such results often stem from improper usage and a lack of oversight. He explains that the modern developer's job is evolving into one of "steering" and "controlling" the AI through planning, creating specifications, and rigorous testing. Professional knowledge of frameworks like React remains vital because it allows the developer to provide better context and make informed architectural choices. AI is not a magic "one-prompt" solution but a tool that requires human expertise to achieve high-quality results. This section reframes the developer as an architect and reviewer rather than just a writer of syntax.

Personal Loss and Productivity Gains

In a candid moment, the speaker admits to feeling a sense of loss regarding the "magical flow state" once found in manual coding. While he acknowledges his privileged position as a course creator, he shares the anxiety many feel about the rapid pace of change in the workspace. He notes that while he could code by hand as a hobby, the sheer efficiency of AI makes manual production feel illogical for professional projects. This internal conflict reflects a broader industry sentiment where productivity gains come at the cost of traditional craft enjoyment. He concludes that while the change is difficult, the resulting capabilities and opportunities are too significant to ignore.

Market Trends and the Rise of Agents

The speaker provides a data-driven outlook by analyzing US software development job postings, which show a recent upward trend despite long-term volatility. He argues that the market is beginning to favor developers who can harness AI to provide the productivity boosts companies crave. This shift justifies a more hopeful outlook for the 2026 job market compared to previous years of stagnation. He encourages those in the "skeptical camp" to try modern models again with a focus on proper planning and steering. By addressing both the market data and the psychological barriers to adoption, he attempts to bridge the gap between fear and opportunity.

2026: The Real Breakthrough Year

The video concludes by reflecting on why 2025 did not quite live up to being the "year of agents" until its very end. The release of Opus 4.5 and improvements in tools like Cursor created a "magical moment" where agentic tasks finally became reliable for complex coding. This delayed breakthrough sets the stage for 2026 to be the definitive year of AI agents and significant professional uncertainty. The speaker predicts a possible burst in the AI investment bubble and an increase in token prices, yet he remains firm that the technology itself is here to stay. He invites viewers to share their own perspectives on which "camp" they belong to as the year unfolds.

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